Most media are attributing the 2012 decline of Somalian piracy to coordinated naval task forces. But the Economist discusses several factors, including severe storms in the Arabian Sea that have made it difficult for pirates' skiffs to sneak up on their victims. 
Suppose all other suspected factors remain constant next year, except for the weather. If the south west monsoon is more gentle, and piracy rebounds, it will imply that storms indeed played a deterring role in 2012. The article, however, expresses concern that complacency may set in on the part of shipowners, who may be tempted to go soft on the expensive security measures.
Suppose all other suspected factors remain constant next year, except for the weather. If the south west monsoon is more gentle, and piracy rebounds, it will imply that storms indeed played a deterring role in 2012. The article, however, expresses concern that complacency may set in on the part of shipowners, who may be tempted to go soft on the expensive security measures.
