Whites Become More Conservative When Thinking About Minorities Becoming Majorities
    By News Staff | April 8th 2014 11:09 AM | 1 comment | Print | E-mail | Track Comments

    Want to turn a liberal into a conservative? Present the prospect of a racial minority becoming the overall majority in the United States, according to an analysis of Pew Research data.

    White Americans across the spectrum move more toward the conservative end of the political spectrum, according to a paper in Psychological Science which suggests that increased diversity in the United States could actually lead to a wider partisan divide. Of course, it depends on the minority. Legal immigrant minorities are overwhelmingly more conservative already.

    Psychologists Maureen Craig and Jennifer Richeson of Northwestern University noticed a substantial amount of media attention when predictions were made that the "majority-minority" population shift would happen in 2050 or sooner. "We wondered how this kind of 'us-vs-them' framing would be perceived by members of the current majority," says Craig.

    Craig and Richeson examined data from 369 White participants who had described themselves as politically unaffiliated in a national Pew Research survey. They found that participants who had read that California is a majority-minority state tended to lean more towards the Republican Party and rate their ideological attitudes as more conservative than participants who simply read that the Hispanic population had become equal in size to the Black population in the United States. 

    Importantly, participants' political attitudes shifted to the right despite the fact that all of the participants had labeled themselves as politically independent.

    Another experiment conducted with a nationally-representative sample yielded similar results, showing that White participants who read a press release about the impending majority-minority shift were more likely to endorse conservative policies – even policies that were race-neutral, such as health care reform and increased military spending – than those who simply read about greater geographic mobility.

    According to Craig and Richeson, the possibility of a majority-minority shift may threaten White American's perceived status in the long term, thereby making them more likely to endorse conservative policies in the short term.

    Indeed, participants who read that "White Americans are expected to continue to have higher average incomes and wealth compared to members of other racial groups" despite a majority-minority shift did not report more conservative attitudes, presumably because they did not perceive a threat to status.

    Craig points out that their findings have direct bearing on real-world issues:

    "The materials we used to elicit these responses were taken from actual Census Bureau press releases and media sources reporting on the 'majority-minority' shift," says Craig. "These findings may be particularly relevant to media and government agencies who are currently reporting on these racial shifts, presumably without awareness of these potential threat effects."

    "We're working on ways to present information regarding these very real and important shifts in the country's racial demographics that don't engender these type of threat responses and, instead, promote positive relations among members of the majority and minority groups," Craig concludes.


    Not sure this holds up. I live in the metropolitan area of Sacramento - so, the state capitol of the most liberal state in America - and whites are not a real majority, low 40% of the population, but not many could describe California as becoming more conservative due to that, it is actually far more liberal than when they elected Reagan. The only people who say we are not 'diverse' come from an area far less diverse. Chris Webber, player for the Sacramento Kings, for example, said he wanted to move some place more diverse but he grew up in a city 85% black.

    Instead, fewer white people may lead to actual political balance because immigrant minorities are less liberal. My Congressional district is one of 8 - yes, 8 - in the United States that is evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats.