For as long as television and other weather forecasting, computer model forecasts (and before that, cyclical projections like in the Farmer's Almanac) have shown a single - deterministic - solution. Those forecasts are destined to be wrong, with the only question being by how much.
A different approach is taking hold where the emphasis is not just on a forecast, but on the degree of uncertainty in that forecast. You know, statistics.
December 4, 2013 from 7- 8 PM, Greg Fishel will be at the James B. Hunt, Jr. Library on N.C. State University's Centennial Campus to discuss how talking about uncertainty will help in delivering a better forecast.
The Changing Climate of Weather Prognostication: The Irony of Uncertainty Leading to Better Forecasts - Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
- PHYSICAL SCIENCES
- EARTH SCIENCES
- LIFE SCIENCES
- SOCIAL SCIENCES
Subscribe to the newsletter
Stay in touch with the scientific world!
Know Science And Want To Write?
- Ignorance Of Math And Physics Is No Excuse
- Mars Lost An Ocean’s Worth Of Water
- Quantum Cryptography Core Question At The Heart Of Quantum Information Theory Answered?!?
- Science Debunks Fad Ideas About Autism, But That Doesn't Dissuade Believers
- The Law has Failed, Not Forensic Science
- Unregulated Genetic Testing Websites Still Causing Concerns
- Cats Use Sight Over Smell When Finding Food
- "This is only partly true. The arachidonic acid prostaglandin pathway is involved in pain..."
- "There is no fear, it is just silly. Let's have a debate between those who believe Hogwart's is..."
- "20 to 30 percent weight loss on female mice seems to be considerable. It could be interesting to..."
- "let's have a debate on national TV, those for the current fake science, and those showing a connection..."
- "Which of the voodoo 'treatments' for autism are you selling? Facilitated communication, right?..."
- Infant growth affected by exposure to environmental pollutants
- Fast food commercials to kids 'deceptive' by industry self-regulation standards
- Another study links heart disease to sitting
- Unregulated web marketing of genetic tests for personalized cancer care raises concerns
- Cultural hypocrisy and Jane Austen's death by popularity