For as long as television and other weather forecasting, computer model forecasts (and before that, cyclical projections like in the Farmer's Almanac) have shown a single - deterministic - solution. Those forecasts are destined to be wrong, with the only question being by how much.
A different approach is taking hold where the emphasis is not just on a forecast, but on the degree of uncertainty in that forecast. You know, statistics.
December 4, 2013 from 7- 8 PM, Greg Fishel will be at the James B. Hunt, Jr. Library on N.C. State University's Centennial Campus to discuss how talking about uncertainty will help in delivering a better forecast.
The Changing Climate of Weather Prognostication: The Irony of Uncertainty Leading to Better Forecasts - Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
- PHYSICAL SCIENCES
- EARTH SCIENCES
- LIFE SCIENCES
- SOCIAL SCIENCES
Subscribe to the newsletter
Stay in touch with the scientific world!
Know Science And Want To Write?
- A physicist’s thoughts on life extension
- The Neuroscience Reason We Fall Over When Drunk
- Does This Cow Really Exist?
- Do Video Games Make You Less Sexist? More?
- Stuff Worth Reading: Collider Asymmetries, Dark Photons, And Warp Drives
- Warm Oceans Caused The Mega-Drought And Hottest Years In The 1934-36 Dust Bowl
- Europe's Public Health Issue: Infertility
- "For the biology to cause Europe's fertility rate to go down to 1.6 per woman instead of staying..."
- "Hank, The correlation between education and lower birth rates is well documented by proponents..."
- "I've told my children for a couple decades (after reading Drexler) that they would likely live..."
- "Dear science 2.0 staff, contributors and all, http://vixra.org/abs/1504.0182 You may be interested..."
- "Sorry to burst your cultural bubble, but education spending did not lead to the documented low..."
Books By Writers Here