It was all mathematically predictable, at least over time. In a one-off scenario, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots won the Super Bowl, though in over 90 other instances where a team in the playoffs was down by 19 after three quarters, they lost. Knowing the math could lead to new, targeted therapies to fight infections.
But dueling bacteria would not be the infectors in that scenario; they'd be the remedy.
Conceivably, specially engineered assassin bacteria friendly to humans could kill harmful bacteria while sparing hordes of microbes that keep people healthy. By contrast, the antibiotics we use today vanquish harmful and helpful bacteria alike.
But to harness bacteria for use in medicine or industry, or just to better understand how they thrive and spread, it's helpful to determine the consistency of their actions over time. That's where the math comes in.
Georgia Tech researchers applied to the bacteria existing physics equations developed to precisely describe the interactions of atoms and molecules. They found that those calculations could also precisely predict that two cholera armies would separate from each other into phases, like oil and water, when they met on the battlefield.
"The models predicted pretty much exactly when the phase separation would occur, and then we observed it happening just like the math said it would," said Brian Hammer, an associate professor at Georgia Tech's School of Biological Sciences. The bacterial interactions turned out to be nearly as calculable as chemical reactions.
Rotting crab shells
Cholera bacteria are commonly found in water attached with other microbes to the shells of crabs and tiny krill, and people who drink that water can die within hours due to the severe vomiting and diarrhea the germs cause. The impetus for doing math on dueling cholera came from how they wage turf war on crab shells, which contain a material called chitin that switches on the harpoon function in Vibrio cholerae. No chitin, no stabbing.
Before getting to the math itself, it's important to understand a few things about Vibrio cholerae. First of all, most microbiologists think cholera bacteria use the harpoons to kill competing bacteria and not to destroy human cells.
The poisonous weapon is called a Type VI secretion system (T6SS), and is common. "This harpoon system is in about one quarter of Gram-negative bacteria," Hammer said. "So, this bacterial dueling is going on all around you."
Gram-negative bacteria have thinner walls, which can be punctured more easily. Gram-positive bacteria have thicker walls less susceptible to the harpoons, and human cells may be even more difficult to penetrate.
And the stabbing mechanism is not limited to pathogens like cholera. Many harmless bacteria use it, too. But more is known about the mechanism in pathogens, because harmful bacteria are more often the focus of scientific study than harmless bacteria, Hammer said.
Armed and generous
Harpooning cholera stab randomly at all bacteria they come into contact with, including each other, but Vibrio cholerae of the same strain are immune to each other's stabs. So, they kill their enemies but not their own kind.
The killing also appears to go hand in hand with cooperative social behavior. The researchers found that bacteria that are good at killing together are also good at sharing with each other and building a community.
It starts with creating a common pool of food. "Bacteria do a lot of their digestion outside their cells," Hammer said. But having all that food lying around is risky. You need a strategy for ensuring that all the effort of chewing up and digesting food benefits you and your relatives, and not someone else who comes and plunders it."
When a strain of bacteria kills invaders, it preserves the fruits of its labor, and multiplies, passing on its genes.
They examined the genomes of many types of bacteria (in addition to cholera) that use poison harpoons. Some strains had six or seven harpoons, and some harpoons had multiple poisons. And there appeared to be a correlation between weapons and cooperation.
"We found that the more weaponry a bacteria strain had in its genome, the more it looked like it was apt to share," Hammer said.
Metal math applies
Under the microscope, the battling bacteria strains actually did look a little like beads of oil and water separating out on a flat surface. They were stained two different colors like red and blue, so they could be told apart.
"We start with two strains well mixed," Hammer said. "We jokingly call this the salad dressing model, because you shake oil and water, and they're well mixed, and you let it sit, and they phase separate."
When they're well mixed, the two strains of cholera appear as one purple mass, but as they kill each other and conquer separate territories, they divide into red blotches and blue blotches.
There are significant differences between how chemical and living systems operate. For example, the bacteria also reproduce and multiply; molecules don't. But the basic math that worked for materials, also worked for the bacteria.
"The type of curve we observed describing our results had never been used to describe living systems before," Hammer said. "Empirically, it's been used to describe metals that undergo phase separation."
Predictive models based on the formula, called "Model A" equations, proved to be extremely accurate. "The mathematical simulations overlapped with the observed data almost perfectly," Hammer said.