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    Continental Drift - What Earth Will Look Like In 120 Million Years
    By News Staff | January 25th 2009 12:00 AM | 15 comments | Print | E-mail | Track Comments
    It wasn't always the case that people believed in continental drift, German geologist and meteorologist Alfred Wegener's(1)  theory that parts of the Earth's crust slowly drift atop a liquid core.   He believed  200 million years ago there was once a gigantic supercontinent which he called Pangaea ("All-earth") which slowly moved apart.

    Wegener’s theory of continental drift became commonly accepted when the driving forces for continental drift were discovered during the 50s and 60s: The enormous heat in the Earth’s core and Earth’s mantle generates the flow of rocks within the Earth’s mantle, a process similar to the movement of warm water in a cooking pot. This heat-driven mass transport by convection leads not only to plate movement on the Earth’s surface but also to drifting of the continents floating on the plates.

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    A new hypothesis says drifting of the large tectonic plates and the superimposed continents is not only powered by the heat-driven convection processes in the Earth’s mantle, but rather retroacts on this internal driving processes. In doing so, the continents function as a 'thermal blanket', which leads to an accumulation of heat underneath, and which in turn can cause the break-up of the super-continents.

    To date  there had been no realistic mathematical–physical theory describing the interaction between the convective movement in the Earths mantle and the continental drift but V. Trubitsin, M. Kaban und M. Rothacher from the Helmholtz Centre Potsdam GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences have now developed a numerical model(2), based on the current position of the continents, the structures of the Earth’s mantle obtained through geophysical measurements, and the current displacement rates on the surface.

    Hence they were able to calculate the future position of the continents in hundreds of millions of years. 

    tectonic evolution and continental drift in 120 million years
    Distribution of the continents in 120 million years

    They say that the enormous heat in the Earth’s interior does not generally lead to a chaotic mass transport within the Earth’s mantle. On the contrary, the continents influence the heat distribution within the Earth’s mantle and the associated convective mass flow. In other words the continents act as a thermal blanket causing heat to accumulate beneath. A self-regulating system develops, beginning and ending with a super-continent. This super-continent breaks apart due to heat accumulation which in turn leads to a reorganoization of mantle convection with the pieces ultimately joining again to form a large super-continent.

    Obviously more heat in the thermal blanket could impact that, though it is unlikely something like  projected global warming would actually move mountains.  The graphic above is their projection of what the Earth will look like in 120 million years  - the good news is there won't be any more 3 day waits to get through the Panama Canal and Europe will have even easier access to cheap labor.  The bad news is Casablanca will be in Portsmouth.

    NOTES:

    (1) The Origin of Continents and Oceans, 1915

    (2) V. Trubitsin, M. Kaban and M. Rothacher: “Mechanical and thermal effects of floating continents on the global mantle convection”, Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors (Vol. 171, S. 313-322).

    Comments

    Well, what about abandoning that non sense called "plate tectonics" and go back to SW Carey's theory?
    We have plenty of data now showing that he was right: telluric planets or moons like Earth, Ganymede, Europa, Miranda all display the stigmata of a very important growth.

    Sooo.... you do not believe in subduction? What happens to all the crust create din mid-oceanic ridges, then? Does the Earth expand like a baloon? If so, does crust creation create voids in the mantle? Or would the mantle and core become progressively less dense in order to allow for the ever-increasing surface area of crust?

    While I have only glanced at Carey's theories, it seems as though it was destined to augment hollow-earth hypothesis, which we would be able to falsify by study of P-waves and S-waves of earthquakes.

    A Wadati-Benioff zone is the front of a mantle flow. Earth, and planets in general, do not expand but do grow in mass. How I don't know. So, no there is no voids in the mantle.

    The Bush administration knew all about this and did nothing to stop it.

    i am not standing up for the Bush administration, it's just, what could he do to stop continental drift?

    Thats true, But he did lay the "groundwork" for obama to fix !

    You're giving the Bush administration WAY too much credit.

    what? silly politicos...

    what will the exact year be in 120 million years from now???!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?! I must know; I'm not very good with math and stuff... grrrrrrrr :)

    i am also not good at math and what will be the exact year in 120 million years?

    It's going to be 120,002,010 :P

    120,000,000 + 2010 = 120,002,010 :)

    Though I'm sure by then something's going to have reset the calendar back many many times so they'll be in like 1657 of the blablabla calendar and 1257 of the crapface calendar.

    The plates will grow so dense that not even ronaldo will be able to dribble the tectonic football to venus and back, which will then will almost lead to much stress and japan will press the world destruct button in 1200 B.C causing us to move tto the moon in the long run we will build a structered ridge from custard creams to prevent auto erosion from stopping space monkeys tie up jellyfish

    Hi,
    I'm actually visiting from 127 million years from now, in which the date is @%*(xDCIx)0011a of the crapface calender, in gendarmataloussazxian, the dominant prefecture of qevdopsilwanfuplico (sound it out), which is the continent you simians now refer to as Africa, and I would just like to say to Anonymous (not verified) that BushObama is deified by 2/3 of the 136 billion Nhuborgoids living on this here subgalactic fueling coordinate, and your supposition of custard cream ridges on "the Moon" is preposterous, as the space monkeys have been extinct for 34 million years, an sattelite 8B3*G, or "the Moon" (so silly), is strictly for the propogation of repilant Nhuborgoids and subcolloidial impurvigation and embeddenment. Jellyfish and cockroaches are still a huge problem, though. Don't even get me started about the hollow inner core of the planet.

    - eloK morloi

    Silence vassal,
    You will cease your bufoonery at once, lest I have you flayed, stuffed, and put on display at dawn amidst the swine at market. Your filthy, slanderous utterings will hence forth no longer be tolerated. Avast ye loathsome plebian for your stench revolts my senses and wicked sight of you curdles my bile.

    eloK morloi I MUST get in touch with you. If you receive this communication PLEASE reply to me at your earliest convenience!

    I can scarcely contain the ecstasy at my discovery of contact with a being from the future - from exactly the year (and, by the sounds of it, the civilisation as well!) that I have long been searching for.

    athama thal gur laka sumu lam thama, as the spirits say!