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    Developing Countries Keep Global CO2 Emissions Rising
    By News Staff | November 5th 2011 04:28 PM | 3 comments | Print | E-mail | Track Comments

    Estimates show that 2010 was by far a record year for CO2 emissions from fossil-fuel combustion and cement manufacture. Globally 9,139 Teragrams, a teragram is a million metric tons, of oxidized carbon (Tg-C) were emitted from these sources.

    Converted to carbon dioxide, so as to include the mass of the oxygen molecules, this amounts to over 33.5 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide. The increase alone is about 512 Tg-C, or 5.9%, over the 2009 global estimate. The previous record year was 2008, with 8,749 Tg-C emitted; the 2010 estimate is about 104.5% of that, or 391 Tg-C more.

    Much of the 5.9% global increase from 2009 to 2010 is due to increased emissions from the world's largest fossil-fuel emitter, the People's Republic of China, where emissions rose 10% to 2.247 Tg-C.

    Emissions from the United States remain well below 2007 levels, an indicator of dire economic conditions.  Currently it is estimated that emissions are back at around 1995 levels in the US.

    John Reilly, co-director of MIT's Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, told the Associated Press that large yet developing nations like India, China and Mexico, all exempt from Kyoto, are responsible for the continued rise. Developed countries produced about 60 percent of the world's greenhouse gases in 1990 and now are responsible for less than 50 percent.

    A manuscript report on these latest numbers has been submitted for peer review and the preliminary numbers are here. A report on last year's update with some of the methodology involved was published Nature Geoscience last year: Friedlingstein P., R.A. Houghton, G. Marland, J. Hacker, T.A. Boden, et al. 2010. Update on CO2 emissions. Nature Geoscience. 3 811-812, doi 10-1038/ngeo1022.
    The general methodology used to produce the 2009 and 2010 estimates is described at:
    http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/emissions/Preliminary_CO2_Emissions_Explaination.doc

    Comments

    These countries and America with our current world population will teminate many people over a large area over the next few years. buy food, buy water. Good Luck.

    Luiz
    To maximize survival chances, migrate to a low density population country, that is also a food and electricity exporter and has abundant water: Paraguay.
    Luiz S
    Change to the level of atmospheric carbon dioxide has no significant effect on average global temperature.

    A simple equation based on the physical phenomena involved, with inputs of only sunspot number and ppmv CO2, calculates the average global temperatures (agt) since 1895 with 88.4% accuracy (an insignificantly lower 87.9% if CO2 is assumed to have no influence).

    The equation, links to the source data, an eye-opening graph of the results and how they are derived are in the pdfs at http://climaterealists.com/index.php?tid=145&linkbox=true (see especially the pdfs made public on 4/10/10, 3/10/11 and 9/24/11).

    As shown in the 9/24/11 pdf, the equation accurately predicted the temperature trends for the last 20 years.

    The future average global temperature trend that this equation calculates is down. The huge effective thermal capacitance of the oceans (about 30 times everything else) will cause the decline to be only about 0.13°C per decade. The decline may be as much as 0.22°C per decade if the sun goes really quiet.