You may know of people who ridicule lottery players because the odds are so great and, it would seem, they can't do simple math. But most people don't ridicule stock market investors even though the same circumstances - a lack of real knowledge and a field of competitors doing the same thing - make it less likely they will be successful unless fortune makes their decisions align with people who know what they are doing.
The riskier investors tend to act, the more socioeconomic characteristics they share with people who play state lotteries and, just like the lottery, returns on average are lower for those who invest this way in the stock market, research from The University of Texas at Austin shows.
In the paper, "Who Gambles in the Stock Market?" Alok Kumar, assistant professor of finance at the McCombs School of Business at The University of Texas at Austin, presents evidence of this counter-productive stock-market behavior after studying the demographics and financial transactions of 70,000 anonymous investors. The research will be published in a forthcoming issue of the Journal of Finance.
"We found that people who took risks with lottery-type stock typically earned 2 to 3 percent less than other investors," Kumar said.
Kumar defines lottery-type stocks as those with a share price under $5 and a history of high volatility and extreme positive returns. These stocks are inexpensive and come with a high chance of losing, but they also offer the small potential for a big payoff.
Kumar's research found that people with household income below average for their area are more likely to buy lottery-type stocks, and that they are purchased in areas with high unemployment and during economic downturns. In addition, regions with higher concentrations of Catholics such as in Massachusetts and Rhode Island have a stronger preference for lottery-type stocks, while those in Protestant regions like areas in the South are less drawn to them—a pattern that also mirrors ticket-purchasing trends in state lotteries by the two groups.
"It is particularly important to be aware of our gambling tendencies now because the urge to gamble is greater during difficult economic times," Kumar said. "Stock market 'gambles' are unlikely to pay off, and those who are close to retirement are likely more vulnerable to this urge because they might feel they only have a short time period to recoup their losses. Unfortunately, this behavior can further worsen their situation and delay recovery."
- PHYSICAL SCIENCES
- EARTH SCIENCES
- LIFE SCIENCES
- SOCIAL SCIENCES
Subscribe to the newsletter
Stay in touch with the scientific world!
Know Science And Want To Write?
- Supersymmetry Is About To Be Discovered, Kane Says
- "Imaginary Bullshit Planet" Nibiru - Lens Flares, Sun Mirages, Hoaxes & Just Plain Silly
- Nature Can Grind Mountains Faster Than Nature Can Rebuild Them
- An Award for William Ruckelshaus, the Man Who Banned DDT? Say It's Not So!
- No, Earth's Magnetic Field Is Not About To Flip
- Volcanic Rocks Hold Clues To Earth's Interior
- KLF15 Gene Produces Benefits Of Steroids Without The Side Effects
- "Golbeki Temple in turkey.... we're all outta africa with some variations, eh?..."
- "your article makes the event less scary and more natural, but also more scary and immediate. It..."
- "they are oddly cute..."
- "I like Canuckosaur. I miss the brontosaurus tho......."
- "I've just done a kind of timeline for Planet X in answer to a question on Quora which may help..."
- Cookin’ Your Bird, The Science Way
- Should the new hep C drugs be used sooner?
- Bilingual patients have better cognitive function post-stroke
- Caveat Comestor: New Yorker Cites ACSH On Cranberry Scare Of ’59
- Does Holiday Feasting Affect Obesity Rates?
- Apple Pie, Mashed Potatoes and Natural Formaldehyde
- Breast cancer clinic attributes increased uptake of double mastectomies to Angelina Jolie effect
- Exploring the physics of a chocolate fountain
- Researchers urge caution in prescribing commonly used drug to treat ADHD
- Stretch the new flex for programmable rubber keyboard
- Human nature's dark side helped us spread across the world