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    Frack, The Water Is Clean? Activists Disappointed In Science Again
    By Hank Campbell | July 25th 2012 10:13 PM | 11 comments | Print | E-mail | Track Comments
    About Hank

    I'm the founder of Science 2.0® and co-author of "Science Left Behind".

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    The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has found that, despite claims by some that the water has been polluted by gas drilling, extensive tests in the northeastern Pennsylvania village of Dimock found it safe.

    Anti-science activists claimed that Houston-based Cabot Oil  & Gas Corp. polluted the local aquifer with methane and toxic chemicals. They also disputed earlier EPA findings that the water was safe. If your mind reels at the idea that anyone at the EPA is anti-environment and in bed with business, you are not alone.  They have ceaselessly endeavored to take over more and more decisions from the public and Congress in the interests of saving us from ourselves.   Nonetheless, if you are on the far left, even the middle left is the right, so they claim the EPA is a shill for Big Frack.  They could light a match to the water, they claimed.  Basically, like the Cuyahoga River catching on fire in 1969. Well, not all myths should be debunked.  Even though it was exaggerated by environmental hippies (in reality it was just some oily debris) it remains a great way to make fun of Cleveland.

    Some residents have gotten conspiratorial about it, alleging that EPA people say off the record it is dangerous.  Like some people claim the government told them they are hiding UFOs. 

    Dimock resident Ray Kemble doesn't care what those pesky scientists at the EPA say. "I don't care what EPA says. The water is still polluted. Do something about it."

    Yeah, science. Fix it.


    That isn't to say I think the drinking water is great.  In California there is a pond right near my house.  It has fish.  I catch fish in there with my son but I would never eat the fish, I don't care how little contamination has happened because of fracking.  It probably has lots of other contaminants that I would avoid when I can. 50 years ago water was likely better in many small towns than municipal water.  I think that is likely not the case any more but we can't blame fracking for that, it simply has to do with not stopping time and births. More people in more places means more minor contamination but that adds up. It's still unreasonable to expect progress to halt.  Growing up, we used to call people who move and then lobby in places not their homes 'Florida conservationists' - they want the environment locked down the way it was the week they moved in next to those of us who had lived there our whole lives.
     
    It isn't just man-made contaminants that may be making Ray Kemble's water contaminated.  As every geologist on the planet can tell you, contamination sometimes just happens.  It's that random weirdness mutating in nature that organic food proponents love and claim is better than precisely engineered beneficial changes that lead to things like fewer pesticides and therefore less water pollution. 

    So fracking has once again disappointed opponents by not being to blame. But my gosh, why take the chance in Pennsylvania at all?  If only there was some desolate outpost a thousand miles from the North Pole where we could drill for energy.  That would make everyone happy, right?

    No, it wouldn't.  That place exists, it's called ANWR and Jimmy Carter tried to drill there 35 years ago and every president since has wanted to; but anti-science hippies protest that also - because drilling in an area the size of a small airport on millions of barren landscape acres would ruin the ecology, they claimed. So they would rather have oil wells in Pennsylvania where people actually live.

    No, they want them nowhere, that is what makes them anti-science and anti-people except themselves; 'Florida conservationists'.  20 years ago natural gas was the Next Big Thing - it has 'natural' in the name after all.  Then Ethanol got foisted off on us by activists and natural gas became evil because it isn't wind power or whatever miracle cure they insist we should have next. So they invent goofy claims like that natural gas extraction causes breast cancer (thanks for making that kind of rhetoric legitimate, Rachel Carson) with no evidence.  No epidemiologist could find any changes in breast cancer rates yet shrill zealots like Josh Fox, the Oscar-nominated director of "Gasland", still spread a blatant lie as truth.

    His evidence?  A newspaper article.

    Comments

    Gerhard Adam
     It's called ANWR and Jimmy Carter tried to drill there 35 years ago and every president since has wanted to; but anti-science hippies protest that too - because drilling in an area the size of a small airport on millions of barren landscape acres would ruin the ecology, they claimed.
    Why is it that people protesting can almost never get anything done that they actually want, and yet when it comes to the environment such protestors are always credited with being wildly successful.

    In fact, what's much more likely is that it would take over 10 years to develop in the ANWR and likely produce little more than a couple of years worth of oil.   In other words, it's a lousy investment.
    Studies of the ANWR coastal plain indicate it may contain between 6 and 16 billion barrels of recoverable oil (between 11.6 and 31.5 billion barrels in-place). With enhanced recovery technology, ANWR oil could provide an additional 30 to 50 years of reliable supply.
    http://www.anwr.org/case.htm
    Of course, this recommendation is playing a bit fast and loose with the numbers.  Basically, even if we fully exploited the ANWR, it is unlikely that it would reduce our imports below 50% and it wouldn't do so for very long.
    The United States consumed a total of 7.0 billion barrels (19.18 million barrels per day) of refined petroleum products and biofuels in 2010 and 6.87 billion barrels (18.83 million barrels per day) in 2011. For both years, this was about 22% of total world petroleum consumption.
    http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=33&t=6
    Hank
    In fact, what's much more likely is that it would take over 10 years to develop in the ANWR and likely produce little more than a couple of years worth of oil. In other words, it's a lousy investment.
    There's no cold turkey for oil and the lousy investment is the private sector so if they fail it is different than if the government fails.  We are on the hook for $72 billion in shady alternative energy investments in the last 3 years.  I'd much rather Exxon were.

    Unless we can build a nuclear energy plant every day for the next 50 years there is no way to shake coal, oil and gas and their emissions yet.  I think gas is the way to go but protesters need something to protest so now natural gas is evil.  The migration will be gradual but activists think nothing will ever get accomplished unless we stop fossil fuels right now.  I can't figure out why they have so little confidence in academics to solve problems in energy yet are completely willing to take them as factual when scientists say we have an emissions crisis.
    Want more no-nonsense, independent science? Buy Science Left Behind
    Gerhard Adam
    ....the lousy investment is the private sector so if they fail it is different than if the government fails.
    I wish it were so, but the "private sector" is rapidly becoming a mythical entity.  Invariably the government ends up on the hook to cover them whether it be to offer guarantees or to extend loans or some other benefit. 

    If the ANWR were to be developed, the first thing that would happen is the government would end up spending several hundred million dollars having to build an infrastructure [i.e. roads, etc.].  The ultimate irony is that even if it were done, we wouldn't derive any benefit from it, because it is in the oil companies best interest to sell the oil on the open market to maximize their profits [after all, that's their business].  Therefore any notion that oil from the ANWR will reduce U.S. dependency simply isn't true.  It will go on the world market.  It will certainly not be dedicated to U.S.-only usage.

    The fantasy is that somehow ANWR will make us oil independent, be dedicated to the U.S. consumption and somehow bring oil prices down.  None of those things will happen, so it is quite legitimate to question why we should bother with the development then.  Industry won't develop there without a ton of concessions and investment by the government/taxpayer.
    Hank
    I wish it were so, but the "private sector" is rapidly becoming a mythical entity. Invariably the government ends up on the hook to cover them whether it be to offer guarantees or to extend loans or some other benefit. 
    The obvious solution is to stop making the private sector a mythical entity. We've created a political culture where we hyper-regulate business and then have to give them tax credits (not so bad) or subsidies (terrible) to stick around and even bail some out.
    If the ANWR were to be developed, the first thing that would happen is the government would end up spending several hundred million dollars having to build an infrastructure [i.e. roads, etc.].
    In Pennsylvania, at least, the gas companies have to pay for all of the infrastructure, it just has to meet environmental standards.  We get these goofier claims about poisoned water but on the upside it has been quite a boost for the economies there. I've never heard of the government paying for roads, housing, etc.
    Want more no-nonsense, independent science? Buy Science Left Behind
    Gerhard Adam
    I've never heard of the government paying for roads, housing, etc.
    It happens routinely in the lumber industry wherever public lands are involved.
    We've created a political culture where we hyper-regulate business...
    I'm going to suggest that perhaps there is a different perspective we need to consider here.  I won't say that most regulations are good or bad, but I will agree that they should be less bureaucratic.  If an industry has a rule regarding how it can operate, then we should be capable of clearly articulating and enforcing such rules.

    Both industry and government need to stop turning these things into bureaucratic nightmares by trying to perpetually operate around the edges.  To use a very loose analogy .... if you get stopped for speeding, no police officer or judge is going to listen to you make a case that you were actually only going 4.99999 mph faster than the limit, and that the statistical distribution and error margin of the radar ...etc. etc. etc.

    Yet, this is precisely what industry and government do with regulation.  If they stopped that, then it would go much smoother.  After all, if they are to be granted the constitutional protections of individuals, then they should be bound by the same kinds of ethical standards are individuals.

    As an example, I would love to see a change that eliminates "false advertising" as a condition and simply calls it what it is; a lie.  In the extreme it could be fraud. 
    Frank Parks
    "That place exists, it's called ANWR and Jimmy Carter tried to drill there 35 years ago and every president since has wanted to; but anti-science hippies protest that also - because drilling in an area the size of a small airport on millions of barren landscape acres would ruin the ecology, they claimed. So they would rather have oil wells in Pennsylvania where people actually live."

    Leave that oil in the ground.  Our grandchildren may need it when the mid-east tap runs dry.

    Maybe instead of reading a document from the government you should go do some investigation your self.

    Hank
    So Obama government scientists are all shills for the right?
    Want more no-nonsense, independent science? Buy Science Left Behind
    "That place exists, it's called ANWR and Jimmy Carter tried to drill there 35 years ago and every president since has wanted to" - This statement is incorrect. Clinton vetoed bills to open ANWR to drilling as did George H.W. Bush. Clinton vetoed the entire Balanced Budget Act of 1995, because it contained provisions for the sale and lease of ANWR/Coastal Plain land. In 1990, Bush used an executive order to block offshore drilling near the coastal plain.

    ANWR has been called the nation's greatest wilderness, not "millions of barren landscape acres." Destroying wilderness and biological diversity is no answer to looking for more energy sources. To suggest drilling there is unpatriotic. It's not scientific to mask lack of research in passionate criticism. Just because you can write well doesn't mean you should word smith. That is truly "anti-science." Oh, and just FYI. ANWR.org is the website of a lobbying group that spins numbers in favor of drilling in ANWR. If you want to learn more about the issue, don't trust them. My source is the Library of Congress's THOMAS bill database. Scientists and people who care about science (often do and) should work to preserve biological diversity, not convince others that destroying it is acceptable.

    Hank
    ANWR has been called the nation's greatest wilderness, not "millions of barren landscape acres." 
    Sure, by activists who have never actually been there. Again, of that 20 million acres we are talking about a spot the size of a small airport.  But the PR campaign against it shows a bunch of caribou munching on some pristine area and claim it would be wrecked.  Pictures are fine, except that isn't ANWR.  The same campaign was waged against the Alaska pipeline, including claims that caribou would stop breeding.  Instead, the herds boomed and the local people are happier.  The 200 people actually living on ANWR want development because they don't like being patronized by environmental corporations in the 48 contiguous states as fuzzy-wuzzy natives and used to raise money.  Corporate executives at Sierra Club would know that had they ever visited.
    It's not scientific to mask lack of research in passionate criticism. 
    It's okay to answer honestly; have any environmental activists ever gotten this comment from you? There is far less science research in their campaigns than in any blog post I have written.
     Scientists and people who care about science (often do and) should work to preserve biological diversity, not convince others that destroying it is acceptable.
    What biological diversity would be wrecked by drilling on .0006 of ANWR? Since you did all this supposed research, you should be able to give an accurate account, not vague statements like 'if you care you won't do X' - X being what you don't want people to do. 
    Want more no-nonsense, independent science? Buy Science Left Behind
    Mathguy
    I hate to do this but I agree with you hank.  I'm normally on the side of the environmentalists but after reading this article and doing a bit of research, I think you're right.
    Mark