A Speculation On The Evolution Of Science

“Terror is the normal state of any oral society, for in it everything affects everything all...

Robots, Imagination, And Spirit

Last month in Korea a computer scientist struck up a conversation on the subway. He told me in...

Get Rid Of ‘Innovation Ecosystems’

To say ‘business ecosystem’ or ‘innovation ecosystem’ is to commit the teleological fallacy...

Asia’s Technology-Driven Futures

KAIST International Forum on Asia’s Futures, Session 2 Seoul, December 13, 2018 I thank...

 Fred Phillips After a dozen years as a market research executive, Fred Phillips was professor, dean, and vice provost at a variety of universities in the US, Europe, and South America. He is now Professor at University... Read More » Blogroll

The Dragons I’ve Eaten: Speculations on the Existence of Human Intelligence

Nov 05 2009 | comment(s)

Carl Sagan conjectured that early diurnal mammals feasted on the eggs of nocturnal dinosaurs. He remarked whimsically that a modern breakfast of chicken eggs is among the few relics of our immemorial joust against the dragons. So I think he wouldn’t mind that I spoof his book’s title for this nonsense column.

Two Research Careers: A Fable For Grad Students

Nov 05 2009 | comment(s)

Let me describe two very different academic careers.

Philosophies of Evaluation (and the New OMB Directive)

Oct 12 2009 | comment(s)

It often falls to the management scientist to evaluate how well a program (in the private, non-profit, or government sector) is performing.  There is a great number of ways to go about this task.  This article discusses some of the ways to evaluate a program.

Different analysis techniques can be applied to the evaluation task, and as we shall see, the chosen technique is quite important. I don’t address the details of technique in this article  My emphasis today is on the variety of evaluation philosophies (principles).

$\sigma^{2}$

There Oughta Be A Law. And, Actually, There Is One

Oct 07 2009 | comment(s)

They say the world is changing. Let’s check that out empirically.

We might run a couple of sample surveys, to see how people’s behaviors or attitudes change between the two questionnaire mailings.  A colleague, however, suggests panel sampling.

Yucky Science

Sep 23 2009 | comment(s)

I had occasion last week to tell the story of my high school friend Allen (name changed to protect his by now certainly stellar career). We had met again back in Evanston, before starting our sophomore years in college. I’d just finished a summer job as camp counselor in Wisconsin’s north woods; Allen had worked for Searle laboratories in Skokie.

Crossing Over: How To Use And Misuse The Fisher-Pry Curve

Sep 18 2009 | comment(s)

The Economist reported that in early 2007, for the first time in history, more humans lived in cities than in the countryside. We are now a different species, in terms of the environmental niche we inhabit.  One thinks of Isaac Asimov’s Trantor, the planet that was completely covered by buildings.  Is Earth headed for a similar future?

2004 was the first year Amazon.com moved more dollar volume in consumer electronics than in